Fair Value Gap (FVG)

Fair Value Gap (FVG)

The Fair Value Gap (FVG) is a concept commonly used in price action trading, particularly in smart money and institutional trading strategies. It refers to a price imbalance created when the market moves sharply in one direction, leaving behind a gap in price action where trading activity was minimal or non-existent. This gap often becomes a zone of interest for traders because the market tends to "fill" these gaps over time.

Key Characteristics of a Fair Value Gap

  1. Formation:

    • An FVG occurs when a large, impulsive move creates a gap between price levels in adjacent candles.
    • It typically involves three consecutive candles:
      • Candle 1: The starting point of the gap.
      • Candle 2: The impulsive move that skips price levels.
      • Candle 3: A failure to revisit the price range skipped by the second candle.
  2. Price Imbalance:

    • It indicates an imbalance between buyers and sellers, often caused by aggressive institutional or algorithmic trading.
    • These gaps suggest inefficiencies in the market that the price may later revisit to "rebalance."
  3. Relevance to Traders:

    • Traders use FVGs to identify potential areas where the price may return to before continuing its original trend.
    • They are often seen as levels of support/resistance or zones where institutional traders might enter or exit positions.

How to Identify a Fair Value Gap

  1. Look for three consecutive candles.
  2. Check if the wick (or shadow) of the third candle does not overlap with the wick of the first candle, leaving a visible gap in price action.
  3. Highlight the range between the second candle's high (or low) and the third candle's wick.

Trading Fair Value Gaps

  1. Retracement to FVG:

    • When the price returns to the FVG, it may provide a trading opportunity, often aligning with support/resistance zones.
  2. Entry Points:

    • Enter trades when the price enters the gap zone, combined with confirmation signals such as candlestick patterns, indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD), or volume spikes.
  3. Stop Loss:

    • Place a stop loss just beyond the opposite end of the FVG to manage risk.
  4. Profit Target:

    • Look for the next key support/resistance level or another imbalance area for exiting trades.

Example

  • Bullish FVG:

    • Price moves sharply up, leaving a gap between the low of the first candle and the high of the third candle.
    • Traders may wait for a retracement into this gap as a potential buy opportunity.
  • Bearish FVG:

    • Price drops sharply, leaving a gap between the high of the first candle and the low of the third candle.
    • Traders may wait for a retracement into this gap as a potential sell opportunity.

Why Fair Value Gaps Matter

Fair Value Gaps are based on the principle that the market seeks efficiency and balance. They provide valuable insights into where institutional interest might lie and help traders align with "smart money" strategies. By combining FVGs with other tools like trendlines, moving averages, and volume analysis, traders can improve their decision-making process.

The Effectiveness of FVG

The effectiveness of Fair Value Gaps (FVG) varies depending on the timeframe and trading style. Here's a breakdown of how FVGs work across different timeframes:

1. Higher Timeframes (Daily, Weekly, Monthly):

  • Best for Swing and Position Traders:

    • FVGs on higher timeframes are the most reliable because they represent significant institutional activity and market inefficiencies over extended periods.
    • These gaps often act as strong zones of support or resistance.
    • Higher timeframes filter out noise, making the levels more meaningful for medium- to long-term trading.
  • Pros:

    • High accuracy due to significant market interest at these levels.
    • Fewer false signals.
  • Cons:

    • May take a long time for price to return to these levels.

2. Mid Timeframes (1H, 4H):

  • Best for Day Traders and Swing Traders:

    • FVGs on 1H or 4H charts strike a balance between reliability and frequency.
    • These timeframes are commonly used to identify intraday or short-term swing trading opportunities.
    • Price often revisits FVGs in these timeframes within a day or two.
  • Pros:

    • Good balance of signal reliability and trade frequency.
    • Useful for short- to medium-term setups.
  • Cons:

    • More signals to monitor compared to higher timeframes.

3. Lower Timeframes (1M, 5M, 15M):

  • Best for Scalpers and High-Frequency Traders:

    • FVGs on lower timeframes are abundant and occur frequently, making them attractive for scalpers who look for quick entries and exits.
    • However, they are less reliable due to market noise and the prevalence of random price movements.
  • Pros:

    • Frequent opportunities for quick trades.
    • Can be useful for scalping in volatile markets.
  • Cons:

    • High risk of false signals due to noise.
    • Requires constant monitoring and fast execution.

Key Takeaway:

  • Daily and 4H Timeframes: Ideal for swing traders looking for reliable FVGs with higher accuracy.
  • 1H Timeframe: Balanced choice for day trading and short-term swing trading.
  • 5M or 15M Timeframes: Suitable for scalping, but higher caution is needed due to noise.

Ultimately, the best timeframe depends on your trading style:

  • If you're a swing trader, focus on Daily and 4H FVGs.
  • If you're a scalper, stick to 1M, 5M, or 15M charts with tight risk management.

Disclaimer: Trading in forex involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content on this website is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.